Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has issued a clear warning to the United States. If President-elect Donald Trump enacts his proposed 25% tariff, Mexico will retaliate. Sheinbaum states this tariff could harm the Mexican economy significantly. It may also lead to around 400,000 job losses in the U.S. vehicle prices would likely rise, especially for trucks made in Mexico. These trucks are crucial for many rural areas in America that strongly supported Trump.
Mexican officials are also concerned. Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard argues that the tariffs would violate the USMCA trade agreement. He believes they would negatively affect economic growth and jobs in both countries. U.S. companies operating in Mexico would face disproportionate impacts. Major American automakers like Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis would be hit hard. Mexico produces 88% of the pickup trucks sold in the U.S. Ebrard warns that truck prices could increase by $3,000, affecting U.S. consumers in rural areas who rely on these vehicles.
The potential tariffs extend beyond just trade. Experts warn they could significantly hurt Mexico’s automotive industry, which contributes nearly a quarter of North American vehicle production. Analysts speculate that these tariffs could erase profits for major U.S. automakers. The Mexican automotive industry group is preparing for possible fallout but is waiting to see if Trump follows through with his threats.
In a recent conversation, Sheinbaum and Trump talked about strengthening cooperation on security issues. However, details of their discussion were not disclosed. Trump has stated that his tariffs will remain until Mexico addresses illegal drug trafficking and migration.
Despite the tension surrounding trade relations, analysts believe Trump’s tariff threats may serve other strategic purposes. Some experts view these tariffs as part of Trump’s negotiation tactics. They suggest these trade measures could change based on the broader geopolitical environment.